BY CHIKA OKEKE, Abuja The World Bank has revealed that spending pressure could slow consolidation of Nigeria’s reforms, though improving macroeconomic conditions and new tax legislation are expected to strengthen fiscal reforms. To this end, the bank projected a three percent fiscal deficit to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) over the medium term, driven mainly by expenditure moderation after the 2027 general elections. The World Bank highlighted this in the October, 2026, Nigeria Development Update (NDU) titled: “Beyond the Federal Purse: How Higher Revenues Shaped State Priorities”, explaining how social protection and service delivery could help cushion households against pressures. Nigeria’s total incremental spending rose to ₦30.64 trillion between June 2023 and December 2025. “While fiscal consolidation is expected to resume from 2027 as election-related spending eases and revenue gains gradually strengthen public finances, the fiscal deficit is projected to narr...
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